Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 278.976869 315.328495 355.747725 404.224075 461.048377 525.867134 605.856201
2025-06-08 220.241872 266.618865 322.774688 396.557887 492.111191 613.299849 781.267485
2025-06-15 190.527833 241.234409 306.204867 397.052343 523.240651 696.083672 957.541192
2025-06-22 166.377133 217.919425 286.872463 388.076641 536.706686 753.466824 1106.330971
2025-06-29 150.343196 202.706748 275.412116 386.752356 558.602997 823.961255 1286.601449
2025-07-06 133.251550 183.777633 256.015375 370.452740 554.346227 852.004800 1401.881065
2025-07-13 127.211972 179.834492 257.525370 385.326765 600.245570 967.461285 1693.514740
2025-07-20 122.410264 177.057380 260.194662 401.919901 650.894225 1099.425787 2048.744403
2025-07-27 115.112285 169.669077 254.755158 404.197595 676.643273 1190.404103 2345.144588
2025-08-03 106.309863 159.103675 243.119887 394.346290 678.668230 1235.874667 2554.672526
2025-08-10 99.032448 150.356282 233.607674 387.002599 684.087696 1288.603653 2794.745078
2025-08-17 95.852456 147.994162 234.491721 398.349758 727.195206 1427.630589 3287.540745
2025-08-24 90.554837 141.829927 228.538970 396.778909 745.075611 1517.602829 3690.684946
2025-08-31 84.768916 134.425176 219.811979 389.004450 749.052297 1577.208827 4032.969314
2025-09-07 80.774667 129.791474 215.595546 389.500471 770.809135 1683.646672 4555.490567
2025-09-14 75.863558 123.193976 207.242075 380.732378 770.537190 1735.083983 4924.732626
2025-09-21 72.375635 118.884267 202.772123 379.438752 787.246916 1834.371235 5499.548546
2025-09-28 67.336981 111.455813 191.867957 363.514218 767.053188 1829.803764 5699.822522
2025-10-05 66.371902 111.395192 195.033657 378.046108 823.155580 2052.457427 6881.167536
2025-10-12 65.604367 111.632762 198.774232 394.254089 886.349832 2313.751240 8389.266081
2025-10-19 63.358100 108.927343 196.437469 396.478635 913.511112 2471.483775 9540.386745
2025-10-26 60.060897 104.016424 189.287590 386.856722 907.300096 2519.715056 10191.427409
2025-11-02 57.234279 99.860366 183.410781 379.683208 906.936101 2588.317202 11000.171251